The yield curve can tell us a lot about where the economy is headed. Here’s how the yield curve works and how you can use it ...

The hard data still points to a strong economy. But "soft" data — like consumer confidence readings — paints a different ...

The same can't necessarily be said for the Federal Reserve Bank of New York's recession probability tool. The New York Fed's ...

Cracks are forming in the economy's foundation,” said one economist, as Wall Street and households alike brace for a possible ...

One key indicator signaling an imminent recession is the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow forecasting model, which updates in real time ...

Thanks to reporting lags and number revisions, recessions typically aren’t declared until well after they have begun.

Economists define a recession as a ‘significant decline in economic activity’ across the market that lasts for more than a ...

It is possible we’ll see a rapid reversal of these policies, which could avert a deep recession. But enough damage appears to ...

I post an update on unemployment claims shortly after the BLS report is made available. Our focus is the four-week moving ...

Absent a credit crunch, interest rates fall in a recession because the downturn suppresses loan demand while stimulating the supply of savings. In fact, that tendency precedes recessions, as shown by ...

Economic slowdown fears in the U.S. intensify as trade war escalations and tariff hikes fuel market volatility. The Nasdaq ...

Economists describe a recession as a "substantial downturn in economic activity" lasting several months, typically ...