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While recession memes represent a cultural zeitgeist, there's real anxiety about the economy under the surface. When more of ...
Is a recession around the corner? This video breaks down the inverted yield curve a key recession indicator that’s flashing ...
Aside from GDP, economists say there are other indicators they are watching to see if a recession is coming (or has already begun) in 2022. Look for: High inflation. A negative yield curve.
An inverted rate yield curve – that is, a long-term interest rate that falls to or below the short-term interest rate – seems ...
The event – commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion – was largely viewed as a signal the U.S. economy would likely slip into recession in the near future. An inverted yield curve occurs when ...
When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...
In fact, "every US recession in the past 60 years was preceded by... an inverted yield curve," note Michael D Bauer and Thomas M Mertens of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco in a paper on ...
So much so, that in this story about recession indicators, I couldn’t even run through the classic red flags like rising unemployment or an inverted yield curve in the bond market. The hard data ...
An inversion of the U.S. Treasury yield curve has been seen as a recession warning sign for decades, and it looks like it’s about to light up again. WSJ’s Dion Rabouin explains why an inverted ...
That’s because a rare phenomenon happens that can be predictive of an impending recession: The yield curve becomes inverted, making news headlines around the world. Treasury bills and bonds are ...
Numerous indicators, including an inverted yield curve and head-and-shoulders formations, suggest a significant recession is imminent. The Fed's ability to mitigate the recession with quantitative ...
This paper examines inflation dynamics in the United States since 1960, with a particular focus on the Great Recession. A puzzle emerges when Phillips curves estimated over 1960-2007 are ussed to ...